Bombs, Blacklists, and Bitcoin
The chaos is the opportunity. Here's the data.
Crypto Super Hub — Weekly Market Intelligence | Mar 2, 2026
I went silent on X for almost a year. And in that time, the world got significantly more chaotic.
The US and Israel just killed Iran’s Supreme Leader in a coordinated strike. Iran is retaliating across the Middle East. BTC dropped 6% in hours. And that’s just today.
Zoom out to the rest of February: Thomson Reuters had its worst day on record. LegalZoom cratered 20%. CrowdStrike and Cloudflare got hammered. The software sector ETF has shed 30% in 2026. People are calling it the “SaaSpocalypse.” Then the Trump administration blacklisted Anthropic from the entire US government after the company refused to let the Pentagon use its AI without safety restrictions. Claude is already embedded in classified military systems. The AI we use to write newsletters is the same AI running operations that captured Nicolás Maduro.
This technology is not coming. It’s here. And it’s moving faster than your career, your investments, and your assumptions about the future.
So I did something about it. I built an AI content engine. Went from zero posts to a full weekly publishing system in under two weeks. One long-form newsletter each week, extracted into X posts, threads, and LinkedIn posts. The tools did the heavy lifting. The system did the thinking. I just showed up with the ideas.
Here’s the part that matters for you: every week you’re not building AI skills is a week you’re falling behind people who are. And every week you’re not accumulating crypto during a period of extreme fear is a week you’ll look back on and wish you’d acted. AI needs a monetary layer. It needs programmable, borderless, decentralised money that moves at the speed these systems operate. That’s crypto. Not in theory. Right now.
The same approach that got me publishing again is the same approach that makes your investing work. Build the system. Let it do the work. Stop waiting for the “right time.” The right time was six months ago. The second best time is today.
CSH Risk Dashboard
This is a landmark week. We’re officially publishing the CSH Score for the first time. Our proprietary risk metric that sits at the core of everything we build.
CSH Score: 31/100
Direction: Steady (first reading, baseline established)
Risk Band: Accumulation Zone
The score runs from 0 (back up the truck) to 100 (take profits aggressively). It’s not a timing indicator. It highlights areas of opportunity for long-term allocation and helps you plan take-profit regions.
At 31, we’re in accumulation territory. That doesn’t mean we can’t go lower. It means the risk/reward for long-term positioning is heavily skewed in your favour right now. This is the range where our DCA calculator starts suggesting increased allocation sizes. Not all-in. Just leaning in harder than you would at 60 or 70.
Key Risk Indicators:
Fear & Greed Index: 10 (Extreme Fear)
BTC Price: ~$64,700 (dropped from ~$65,800 to $63,000 on Iran strikes, partially recovered)
BTC Dominance: ~63%
Total Crypto Market Cap: ~$2.3T
BTC ATH drawdown: ~49% from $126,100
Jake’s Read:
Last week I flagged the possibility of a BTC rally into early March. That played out. BTC spiked toward $70K mid-week before getting sharply rejected. This is textbook bear market behaviour. 2018: Feb low, March rally, April dump. 2022: Feb low, March rally, May dump. 2026 is rhyming.
The Jane Street manipulation narrative exploded this week. The theory: Jane Street was systematically dumping BTC at 10am ET daily via their ETF role, and once they got sued, the dumps stopped and BTC rallied 10%. Great Twitter content. But economist Alex Kruger pulled the actual IBIT return data and found no systematic 10am dump. The moves closely mirror Nasdaq performance. Narratives follow price, not the other way around. Stick to your system.
The Fear & Greed Index hit 5 earlier this week. To put that in perspective, it didn’t even get that low during the 2018 bear market, the COVID crash, or the 2022 crypto winter. Extreme fear at this level, combined with a CSH Score of 31, tells me we’re in the zone where long-term positions are built. Not comfortable. But historically rewarding.
AI is Reshaping Everything Faster Than You Think
Forget the Jane Street drama. The story of the week, and arguably the story of the year, is the speed at which AI is disrupting entire industries.
On Thursday, Jack Dorsey cut 4,000 people from Block. That’s nearly half the entire workforce. Gone in a single announcement. His reasoning was blunt: “A significantly smaller team, using the tools we’re building, can do more and do it better. And intelligence tool capabilities are compounding faster every week.”
The stock jumped 24%.
This came in the same week Anthropic expanded Claude Cowork from a research product into a full enterprise tool. On Tuesday they launched connectors for Google Drive, Gmail, DocuSign, and FactSet, plus customisable plugins for financial analysis, engineering, and HR. This is the same product that triggered the SaaS bloodbath in early February. The difference now: it’s no longer a preview. It’s production-ready for organisations.
The February timeline tells the whole story. Each Anthropic product release triggered another sector sell-off: legal, finance, cybersecurity, enterprise software. The Global X Cybersecurity ETF fell nearly 9%. They also acquired Vercept to push computer use from 15% accuracy in late 2024 to 72.5% today. Each release, another sector repriced.
And then it got political. On Thursday, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei rejected the Pentagon’s demand to remove all safety restrictions from Claude’s military use. Anthropic drew two red lines: no autonomous weapons, no mass domestic surveillance of Americans. The Pentagon called Amodei a “liar” with a “God complex.” On Friday, Trump ordered every federal agency to stop using Anthropic, and Defense Secretary Hegseth designated the company a “supply-chain risk to national security,” a classification normally reserved for foreign adversaries like Huawei. Claude is the only AI on the military’s classified networks. Palantir uses it for its most sensitive defence work. The kicker? OpenAI’s Sam Altman said he shares Anthropic’s exact same red lines. This fight isn’t going away.
Here’s why this matters for your crypto strategy: we are watching a generational shift in how companies operate and how value gets created. The companies that adapt (smaller teams, AI-augmented workflows, systems over headcount) will generate outsized returns. The ones that don’t will get Block’d.
Crypto sits right at the intersection of this. It’s a technology bet. It’s a monetary bet. And it’s a bet that decentralised systems and programmable money will be the infrastructure layer for whatever comes next.
I wrote about how I built my own AI content engine after going silent on X for a year. Went from zero output to a full weekly publishing system in under two weeks for roughly $60/month. Compare that to a $10K/year KOL inner circle that gives you someone else’s guesses. The full tool stack is in Jake’s Workbench below.
This isn’t just a content story. It’s a framework for how to operate in 2026. If you aren’t building systems with AI right now (for your investing, your work, your side projects) you’re falling behind faster than you realise.
If you want to see how we’re applying this systems thinking to crypto investing, create a free CSH account and see the risk score, DCA calculator, and strategy builder for yourself.
Jake’s Workbench
Here’s the actual tool stack behind the content engine, for anyone who wants to replicate it:
The Brain, Claude Pro ($30/month). I set up a dedicated Claude Project with my content strategy, newsletter playbook, top-performing posts, and voice guidelines as persistent context. Every conversation starts with full knowledge of what CSH sounds like, what’s worked before, and what the current strategy is. This alone cut my drafting time by 60-70%.
The Memory, Notion (~$20/month). Every lesson goes into the Experiment Log. Every newsletter’s performance data gets tracked. The Kaizen notes feed back into the next week’s prompts. Notion is the system of record. Claude reads from it, and I write to it.
The Scheduler, Typefully. Newsletter goes out, then I extract 3-4 standalone X posts, schedule them across the week. Consistent publishing without the daily “what do I post?” panic.
The Quality Check, CSH Content Scorecard. Before anything ships, it gets scored: Does it have real data? Does it sound like me? Does it connect to the CSH system? Is there a clear CTA? Could a generic crypto account have posted this? If yes, kill it.
Total monthly cost: roughly $60. Total weekly time investment: about 4-5 hours for a full content cycle. Compare that to where I was six months ago. Spending nothing, producing nothing, and slowly watching my audience forget I existed.
The meta point: this system is content itself. Me building it in public, showing it working, and explaining how reinforces everything CSH stands for. Systems over hype. Tools over gurus.
Quick Hits
US and Israel kill Iran’s Supreme Leader in coordinated strikes. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed Saturday in a US-Israeli strike on his Tehran compound, along with Iran’s defense minister, Revolutionary Guard commander, and multiple senior officials. Trump called it a campaign aimed at regime change. Iran has declared 40 days of mourning and launched retaliatory strikes on US bases and Israel. BTC dropped from ~$65,600 to $63,000 before rebounding to ~$64,700. Oil futures surged 5%. The Strait of Hormuz handles 20% of global oil shipments, and any disruption would be an inflation shock. Expect extreme volatility when traditional markets reopen Monday. Your system, not your emotions, should be making decisions this week.
Tariff update: 10% in effect, 15% threatened, 1,000+ companies suing. We covered the Supreme Court striking down Trump’s IEEPA tariffs last week. Here’s what happened since: the new 10% Section 122 tariff took effect Tuesday. Trump immediately threatened to raise it to 15%. Over 1,000 companies (including Costco and FedEx) have filed lawsuits seeking refunds on the illegal tariffs they already paid. The EU postponed ratifying its US trade deal, saying it needs “full clarity” on what comes next. These tariffs expire in 150 days without Congressional approval. Continued macro uncertainty means continued volatility.
Vitalik sold more ETH than planned. Buterin exceeded his stated 16,384 ETH sales target, offloading roughly $38M more than he said he would. The optics aren’t great when ETH is already down significantly from highs and sentiment is fragile. Whether it’s foundation funding or personal diversification, large insider selling during a fear cycle adds pressure. Worth watching ETH/BTC ratio as a confidence gauge.
Strategy hits 100 BTC purchases. MicroStrategy (now rebranded to “Strategy”) made its 100th Bitcoin buy, picking up 592 BTC for ~$39.8M. Total holdings now exceed 717,000 BTC. Meanwhile, the stock has become one of the most shorted mega-caps on the market. Saylor is betting the company on BTC at accumulation prices. The shorts are betting he’s wrong. One side is going to be very right.
Nvidia smashes earnings, stock barely moves. Revenue up 73% YoY to $68.1 billion. Data centre revenue hit $62.3 billion. The AI infrastructure buildout is real and not slowing down. But the stock only ticked up slightly post-earnings. The market has already priced in excellence. The takeaway: AI investment is accelerating, which is long-term bullish for crypto as the infrastructure and monetary layer.
The Week Ahead
Iran escalation is the macro story now. Everything else takes a back seat. When traditional markets open Monday, expect significant volatility across equities, commodities, and crypto. If the Strait of Hormuz gets disrupted, oil could spike toward $120+ and trigger an inflation shock. Watch the $60K level on BTC. If it holds through the week, that’s extremely constructive given the circumstances.
BTC monthly close (today/tomorrow). February is closing as BTC’s fifth consecutive red month since October’s $126K ATH. The Iran strikes have pushed BTC back toward $64K. A monthly close above $64K would be relatively resilient given the geopolitical shock. Below $62K signals more pain ahead.
Tariff escalation watch. Trump is pushing to raise the global tariff from 10% to 15%. The EU Parliament reconvenes March 4 to decide whether Washington has honoured last year’s trade deal. China said it will “comprehensively assess” its countermeasures. The White House is also trying to maintain 35-50% tariffs on Chinese goods through alternative legal pathways. Tariffs plus war is a toxic combination for risk assets.
SEC crypto ETF deadline: March 27. The SEC has final decisions due on 91 pending crypto ETF applications spanning 24 tokens. Altcoin ETF approvals (SOL, XRP) could trigger the next wave of institutional inflows. Still weeks away, but the market will start pricing expectations soon. Geopolitical chaos could delay or complicate these decisions.
The Close
AI is eating industries. Governments are at war with AI companies and with each other. Markets are in extreme fear. And the people who build systems during times like this are the ones who come out ahead.
Weeks like this are why you build a system before you need one. When everyone is panicking, your CSH Score, your DCA framework, and your exit targets already have the answers. You don’t need to make emotional decisions in a crisis if you made rational decisions beforehand.
If you want that system, create your free CSH account below. We’re building the tool I wish I had five years ago.
Share this with a mate who’s been staring at their portfolio not knowing what to do. Systems beat panic, every time.
See you next week.
— Jake